Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 4.196283 4.509067 4.844887 5.234180 5.675494 6.163201 6.747068
2025-07-20 3.754214 4.194675 4.698823 5.326357 6.097939 7.031571 8.272785
2025-07-27 3.519367 4.036821 4.655682 5.466336 6.525932 7.904114 9.907666
2025-08-03 3.300315 3.858658 4.548481 5.488015 6.777085 8.557267 11.356771
2025-08-10 3.095831 3.672800 4.403749 5.430488 6.895996 9.025056 12.615675
2025-08-17 2.888280 3.463469 4.205830 5.273155 6.843816 9.219606 13.466169
2025-08-24 2.735645 3.313156 4.071555 5.186272 6.875834 9.536021 14.585434
2025-08-31 2.654041 3.249958 4.047870 5.250484 7.136902 10.252961 16.629711
2025-09-07 2.561887 3.165631 3.987109 5.251642 7.294457 10.815004 18.540152
2025-09-14 2.423705 3.010330 3.815873 5.071090 7.134206 10.781377 19.140043
2025-09-21 2.317624 2.894358 3.694114 4.956784 7.071598 10.917144 20.179742
2025-09-28 2.233608 2.805185 3.605854 4.887403 7.076973 11.181313 21.630904
2025-10-05 2.166380 2.740399 3.555015 4.882283 7.210218 11.756521 24.272323
2025-10-12 2.125706 2.712060 3.557236 4.964320 7.513575 12.759106 28.811853
2025-10-19 2.098777 2.701634 3.584869 5.089413 7.912957 14.074968 35.523283
2025-10-26 2.048722 2.654419 3.552519 5.108768 8.108704 14.966174 41.602210
2025-11-02 1.986351 2.585979 3.483007 5.057396 8.154717 15.495310 46.736823
2025-11-09 1.908518 2.491344 3.367602 4.916718 8.000040 15.463082 49.053941
2025-11-16 1.849132 2.422431 3.290096 4.838917 7.970394 15.771683 53.812063
2025-11-23 1.821872 2.401092 3.287610 4.896424 8.238794 17.003257 66.839843
2025-11-30 1.784730 2.363070 3.255974 4.897461 8.382229 17.912189 80.170295
2025-12-07 1.717479 2.276450 3.141183 4.735649 8.137739 17.534962 81.109482
2025-12-14 1.665048 2.211389 3.059787 4.633021 8.022197 17.564841 86.763367